A proposed closure for $7 \le d \le 10$, checked numerically — the obstruction it targets does not exist, and the objection raised against it fails on its own test
Percolation on $\mathbb{Z}^d$ is believed to behave like a mean-field model above six dimensions. It has been proved to, for $d \ge 19$ (Hara–Slade) and then $d \ge 11$ (Fitzner–van der Hofstad, via the non-backtracking lace expansion). The dimensions $7 \le d \le 10$ remain open. This note records a proposed route to close them, and what happened when three of its quantitative claims were checked.
Two things were refuted. The route is built to defeat a $1/(d-6)$ divergence; there is no divergence at any integer dimension in the range. And the objection this note first raised against the route’s central step — that Fourier transforms of the relevant diagrams would go negative — is false, on its own test. What does fail is something else, by a better mechanism, and the failure converts an inequality over a continuum into a claim about a single point.
This note makes no operator assignment, and nothing in it depends on or extends the chain. It is recorded here for the same reason Chapter 20 records its refutation: the discipline is to fix the criterion, run the test, and keep the negative result.
The lace expansion writes the Fourier-space two-point function as $$\hat\tau_p(k) = \frac{1}{1 - p\hat D(k) - \hat\Pi_p(k)}, \qquad \hat D(k) = \frac{1}{d}\sum_{i=1}^{d}\cos k_i$$ with $\hat\Pi_p = \sum_N (-1)^N \hat\Pi_p^{(N)}$ over irreducible lace diagrams. The infrared behaviour is controlled by the triangle $$T(p_c) = \int_{[-\pi,\pi]^d} \hat\tau_{p_c}(k)^3\,\frac{dk}{(2\pi)^d} \sim \int_0^\Lambda r^{d-7}\,dr$$ which converges precisely for $d > 6$. That is the standard derivation of $d_c = 6$, and it is correct.
The bootstrap closes when a self-consistent inequality of the form $f(p) \le 1 + C\,\Omega(d)\,f(p)^3$ admits a root, with $$\Omega(d) = \int_{[-\pi,\pi]^d} \frac{\hat D(k)^2}{(1-\hat D(k))^3}\,\frac{dk}{(2\pi)^d}$$
For $f \le 1 + a f^3$ the tangency condition is $f^{*} = \sqrt{1/(3a)}$ with $1 + a(f^{*})^3 = f^{*}$. At $a = 4/27$ this gives $f^{*} = 3/2$ exactly, with $g'(3/2) = 1$: the critical case. For $a < 4/27$ two roots exist and the bootstrap closes; for $a > 4/27$ none does. Checked numerically: residual $0$ to machine precision at $a=4/27$, $-0.0287$ at $a = 0.14$ (closes), $+0.0378$ at $a=0.16$ (fails).
The heuristic $T(p_c) \sim 1/(d-6)$ is often read as a divergence to be defeated. It is a correct scaling form and a misleading obstruction, because $d$ is an integer. Evaluating $\Omega(d)$ exactly — by per-coordinate Bessel moments, using $\int\frac{dk}{(2\pi)^d}e^{t\hat D} = I_0(t/d)^d$ and its $t$-derivatives, with exponential scaling to avoid overflow:
| $d$ | $\Omega(d)$ | $1/(d-6)$ | $\Omega\cdot(d-6)$ | $C$ needed for $C\Omega < 4/27$ | $\Omega(d)/\Omega(11)$ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.7164 | 1.000 | 0.716 | 0.207 | 5.82 |
| 8 | 0.3322 | 0.500 | 0.664 | 0.446 | 2.70 |
| 9 | 0.2134 | 0.333 | 0.640 | 0.694 | 1.73 |
| 10 | 0.1565 | 0.250 | 0.626 | 0.947 | 1.27 |
| 11 | 0.1232 | 0.200 | 0.616 | 1.202 | 1.00 |
| 12 | 0.1014 | 0.167 | 0.608 | 1.462 | 0.82 |
| 13 | 0.0859 | 0.143 | 0.601 | 1.724 | 0.70 |
$\Omega(7) = 0.716 < 1$. The product $\Omega\cdot(d-6)$ sits between $0.60$ and $0.72$ across the whole range, so the $1/(d-6)$ shape is real but its coefficient is small and the value at every integer $d \ge 7$ is $O(1)$. Descending from $d=11$ to $d=7$ costs a factor of $5.8$ — a finite, modest penalty, not a singularity.
The binding quantity is therefore $C$, the constant packaging the combinatorial bounds on the lace diagrams, not $\Omega$. Any strategy whose stated purpose is to defeat a $1/(d-6)$ divergence is aimed at a target that is not in the room. A corollary worth noting: a mechanism supplying a factor $(d-6)/(2d)$ would also improve $d \ge 11$ by a factor of $4.4$, which for an already-settled case should be treated as a warning rather than a bonus.
The route’s central step asks for a sign-alternating cancellation: that $\hat\Pi^{(2m)}(k) - \hat\Pi^{(2m+1)}(k) \ge 0$ pointwise in $k$. The natural objection is that $\Pi^{(N)}(x) \ge 0$ in position space does not make $\hat\Pi^{(N)}(k)$ sign-definite — at the zone corner $k=(\pi,\ldots,\pi)$ the transform is the alternating sum $\sum_x (-1)^{|x|_1}\Pi^{(N)}(x)$, with no evident sign control.
That objection is testable on the object the diagrams are assembled from. Let $G$ be the critical propagator, $\hat G(k) = (1-\hat D(k))^{-1}$, computed in position space as $G(x) = \int_0^\infty e^{-t}\prod_i I_{x_i}(t/d)\,dt$, and take $\widehat{G^m}$ at $k = (\theta,\ldots,\theta)$ by sign-and-permutation symmetry over a box.
$\hat G(\pi,\ldots,\pi) = 0.500000$ against the analytic $1/(1-\hat D) = 1/(1-(-1)) = 1/2$. Exact to six digits, which validates the quadrature and the symmetry bookkeeping.
$\widehat{G^2}$ and $\widehat{G^3}$ are positive at every sampled $k$, and monotonically decreasing from $k=0$ to the corner. There is no sign failure. The objection as stated — that individual transforms go negative — does not hold for these diagrams, and is withdrawn.
The difference behaves quite differently from either term.
| $\theta/\pi$ | $\widehat{G^2}$ | $\widehat{G^3}$ | difference | ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.000 | 1.3667 | 1.3211 | +0.0456 | 1.035 |
| 0.205 | 1.3186 | 1.3186 | −0.00003 | 1.000 |
| 0.513 | 1.1906 | 1.3085 | −0.1179 | 0.910 |
| 1.000 | 1.0939 | 1.2978 | −0.2039 | 0.843 |
The inequality holds near $k=0$ and fails beyond $\theta \approx 0.18\pi$ — not because either term becomes negative, but because the higher-order diagram is flatter in $k$. $G^3$ is more concentrated in position space than $G^2$, hence broader in Fourier space: it starts lower at $k=0$ and overtakes. This is an uncertainty-principle trade, so it is structural and will recur at every $N$, not an accident of this pair.
Because both transforms are monotone in $|k|$, the ratio attains its minimum at the zone corner:
$$\min_{k}\ \frac{\widehat{G^2}(k)}{\widehat{G^3}(k)} \;=\; 0.8429 \qquad\text{attained at } k=(\pi,\ldots,\pi)$$ The pointwise inequality survives if and only if the $(N{+}1)$ diagram carries relative amplitude at most $0.843$ of the $N$ diagram. That is an undemanding requirement, and higher lace diagrams do acquire an extra small factor at criticality. The step is therefore not obviously false — it is contingent on an amplitude ratio, and the ratio it needs is generous.
Prove $\hat\Pi^{(2m)}(k) - \hat\Pi^{(2m+1)}(k) \ge 0$ pointwise for all $k \in [-\pi,\pi]^d$.
Prove $\displaystyle\sup_k \frac{\hat\Pi^{(2m+1)}(k)}{\hat\Pi^{(2m)}(k)} \le 1$ — which, given monotonicity in $|k|$, reduces to the single point $k = (\pi,\ldots,\pi)$.
A continuum of inequalities collapses to one number. That is a materially smaller problem than the one originally posed, and it is the only part of the route that survives the checks above.
| Claim | Status | Basis |
|---|---|---|
| $d_c = 6$; triangle converges iff $d > 6$ | [VERIFIED] | standard; re-derived |
| $4/27$ is the exact bootstrap threshold, tangency at $f=3/2$ | [VERIFIED] | analytic + numeric |
| $\Omega(7)=0.7164$; no divergence at integer $d \ge 7$ | [VERIFIED] | exact quadrature, Bessel moments |
| Binding constraint is $C$, not $\Omega$ | [MODEL] | follows from the table; $C$ not evaluated here |
| $\widehat{G^m} > 0$ for all sampled $k$; sign objection withdrawn | [VERIFIED] | zone.py; corner value exact |
| Difference changes sign at $\theta \approx 0.18\pi$ by flatness | [MODEL] | $G^m$ is a model for $\Pi^{(N)}$, not equal to it |
| Amplitude condition $\le 0.8429$ | [MODEL] | unit normalisation; true diagrams carry prefactors |
| Whether the true $\hat\Pi^{(N)}$ satisfy the corner condition | [OPEN] | not computed; $\Pi^{(N)} \ne G^{N+2}$ |
| Mean-field exponents for $7 \le d \le 10$ | [OPEN] | unchanged by anything here |
Caveats carried, not buried. $G^m$ models the diagrams; the true $\Pi^{(N)}$ carry additional vertex sums and nesting. The unit normalisation is arbitrary — which is precisely why the outcome is a ratio condition rather than a verdict. Box truncation at $|x_i| \le 7$ leaves the $k=0$ column truncation-limited, since $\hat G(0)$ genuinely diverges; the corner value is exact, and that is what validates the rest. Two further defects in the original route are not addressed by any computation: the decomposition $\hat\tau = A/(1-\hat D) + \hat R$ takes $A$ from the value rather than the derivative of the denominator at $k=0$, so asserting $\hat R \in L^\infty$ uniformly is close to assuming the infrared bound being sought; and the displayed pairing identity for $\hat\Pi^{(N)} - \hat\Pi^{(N+1)}$ is not well formed, since the two range over different numbers of lace structures and admit no canonical pairing.
Chapter 20 fixed a falsification criterion before running, and kept the refutation it produced. This note does the same on a different problem and gets a sharper version of the same lesson: the objection raised here was tested and destroyed by its own test, while the target it was aimed at turned out not to exist either. What survived is smaller than what was proposed and more precise than what was objected — a single-point condition at the zone corner.
The percolation companions in Book 6 are WP-93 · The Triangle, Not the Bubble, whose §3 scopes what closing $7 \le d \le 10$ would require — two of its three candidate directions are tested here — and WP-92 · Not a Cusp, which records a fold identification checked and rejected.
Nothing here bears on the operator chain, and nothing here should be cited as extending it. The reproducing scripts fix their criteria before the run, as in Chapter 20.
Four analytic routes were subsequently proposed for proving the corner condition of §N.5 without computation. Two make claims decidable from the numbers already in this note. All four are recorded with their status.
$\mathbb{Z}^d$ is bipartite, so every path from $0$ to $x$ has length $L \equiv \|x\|_1 \pmod 2$, and $e^{ik^*\cdot x} = (-1)^{\|x\|_1}$ at the corner. Both statements are correct.
The proposal is that a higher-order diagram “introduces an additional internal propagator $G(u,v)$ whose distance is strictly odd, systematically flipping the phase sign.” At $k^*$ the phase attaches only to the endpoint: $\hat\Pi^{(N)}(k^*) = \sum_x (-1)^{\|x\|_1}\Pi^{(N)}(x)$. Internal vertices are summed out and carry no phase whatever. Nor does any single parity attach to “the additional propagator”, since $\Pi^{(N)}(x)$ aggregates configurations of every internal geometry. The parity observation is true and does no work here.
The Fröhlich–Simon–Spencer infrared bound derives from reflection positivity, and it is precisely the tool that is not available for percolation in the form required. That absence is the historical reason the lace expansion exists at all. If reflection positivity delivered the infrared bound here, $7 \le d \le 10$ would not be open, and neither Hara–Slade nor NoBLE would have been necessary. The auxiliary claim $\rho(T) \le 1/(2d-1)$ for a transfer operator is asserted without derivation and is implausible on its face.
(a) A conflation. The proposal states $\mathcal{F}[G^{*N}](k) = \mathcal{F}[G^N](k)$. These are opposite operations: $\mathcal{F}[G^{*N}] = (\hat G)^N$, the pointwise power, while $\mathcal{F}[G^{N}]$ is the $N$-fold convolution of $\hat G$. The identity as written inverts the correspondence.
(b) The monotonicity runs the other way. The claim is $\phi_{N+1}(k^*) < \phi_N(k^*)$ for $\phi_N(k) = \mathcal{F}[G^N](k)/\mathcal{F}[G^N](0)$. Computed:
| $N$ | $\mathcal{F}[G^N](0)$ | $\mathcal{F}[G^N](\pi)$ | $\phi_N(\pi)$ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1.366725 | 1.093906 | 0.800385 |
| 3 | 1.321123 | 1.297840 | 0.982376 |
| 4 | 1.433023 | 1.430845 | 0.998480 |
$\phi_N(\pi)$ is strictly increasing: $+0.182$ then $+0.016$. It must be. “Flatter in $k$” is precisely the statement that the normalised transform stays closer to $1$ across the zone. Strategy 3 asserts the opposite of the mechanism it is built on.
Prékopa–Leindler concerns log-concave functions on $\mathbb{R}^n$; $G$ on $\mathbb{Z}^d$ is not log-concave, and the inequality yields nothing about pointwise monotonicity of Fourier transforms. Separately, $G(x)^N \sim |x|^{-N(d-2)}$ suppresses tails polynomially, not exponentially.
The non-backtracking operator $B$ on $\mathbb{Z}^d$ has $2d-1$ continuations at each step, so non-backtracking walks of length $n$ number $\sim (2d-1)^n$ and $\rho(B) = 2d-1$. For $d=7$ that is $\mathbf{13}$, not $1/13$. $B$ is a growth operator, not a contraction; the proposed bound $\|B\|_2 \le 1/(2d-1)$ is wrong by a factor of $(2d-1)^2 = 169$ and points the wrong way — used as written it would give exponential growth in the diagram index. The representation $\hat\Pi^{(N)}(k^*) = \mathrm{Tr}((BS)^N)$ is also not a form the lace coefficients take.
All four routes terminate at a bound of $\approx 1/(2d-1) \approx 0.077$, comfortably under the $0.8429$ that §N.4 requires — and in each case that number arrives via a norm that is inverted, misattributed, or asserted. Four independent arguments converging on the same convenient constant is not corroboration; it is a signature of a number being reached for rather than derived. The same caution applies to the earlier $(d-6)/(2d)$ factor, which would have improved the already-settled $d \ge 11$ case fourfold.
What survives. The corner reduction of §N.5 is untouched by any of this — it came from monotonicity in the computed transforms, not from these four arguments. The open target is unchanged and is stated in Exercise N.1: compute the true $\hat\Pi^{(0)}$ and $\hat\Pi^{(1)}$ at $k^*$ in $d=7$ and test the amplitude condition on the diagrams themselves. No proposed shortcut removes that step.
Four further routes were proposed for extending the corner condition to the whole Brillouin zone. Two rest on the same inverted norm already corrected in §N.8; the other two fail on their own terms.
The proposal is that $R(k)$ is subharmonic on $\mathbb{T}^d$ and therefore attains its minimum on “the boundary orbits”, namely $k^*$. Three separate failures. The torus has no boundary — it is a compact manifold without one, and a subharmonic function on such a manifold is constant by the maximum principle. Subharmonicity controls maxima, not minima; the argument invokes the wrong extremum for the direction it needs. And $\hat D(k) = \frac1d\sum\cos k_i$ is not Schur-concave on $[-\pi,\pi]^d$: a symmetric sum $\sum g(k_i)$ is Schur-concave iff $g$ is concave, and $\cos$ is concave only on $[0,\pi/2]$, convex on $[\pi/2,\pi]$.
(a) Unavailable. The claimed Cauchy–Schwarz $|\hat\Pi^{(2m+1)}|^2 \le \hat\Pi^{(2m)}\hat\Pi^{(2m+2)}$ requires reflection positivity, which percolation does not supply — see §N.8.
(b) Backwards. A log-convex sequence has non-decreasing consecutive ratios. Log-convexity therefore places the worst case at large $N$ and cannot deliver a uniform $O(1/2d)$ ratio bound; it makes the problem harder, not easier.
(c) False in the model. At $k^*$: $a_3^2 = 1.684389$ against $a_2 a_4 = 1.565210$. The sequence is log-concave, ratios $1.1864, 1.1025, 1.0947$ — decreasing, and every one of them exceeds $1$. In the unnormalised model the required condition fails outright at the corner, which is precisely why the §N.4 difference was negative there.
Non-backtracking walks on $\mathbb{Z}^d$ have $2d-1$ continuations per step, so their number grows as $(2d-1)^n$ and $\rho(B) = 2d-1 = \mathbf{13}$ at $d=7$. $B$ is a growth operator. The value $1/13$ is its reciprocal, and substituting it converts exponential growth into exponential decay by inspection. Modulating by a diagonal unitary is correct as far as it goes — $\|B_k\| = \|B\|$ exactly, by unitary invariance rather than the triangle inequality — but it inherits the base error unchanged.
Eight proposed closures across two rounds terminate at $\approx 1/(2d-1) \approx 0.077$, comfortably beneath the $0.8429$ that §N.4 requires. In every case that constant arrives by a norm that is inverted, a principle applied to the wrong extremum, an inequality that runs the wrong way, or a tool the model does not admit. Convergence of many arguments on one convenient value is evidence about the arguments, not about the value.
The corner reduction of §N.5 stands because it came from computed transforms. Nothing since has moved it. The next step that would move it is Exercise N.1 — the true $\hat\Pi^{(0)}$ and $\hat\Pi^{(1)}$ at $k^*$ in $d=7$ — and no shortcut proposed so far removes the need to do it.
The true zero-lace coefficient was computed at the corner. $\Pi^{(0)}(x) = \mathbb{P}_{p}(0 \Leftrightarrow x) - \delta_{0,x}$, doubly connected meaning connected with no pivotal bond, i.e. lying in the same 2-edge-connected component as the origin. The estimator is unbiased and uses no proxy and no diagrammatic bound: sample the cluster of $0$, find bridges by Tarjan, take the 2-edge-connected component $B(0)$, and average $\sum_{x \in B(0)}(-1)^{\|x\|_1} - 1$.
Exact leading order. At order $p^4$ the only doubly-connected structures are single open squares. Each square through $0$ makes the origin doubly connected to three vertices: $e_i$ and $e_j$ at $\|x\|_1 = 1$ (sign $-1$) and $e_i+e_j$ at $\|x\|_1=2$ (sign $+1$), for a net $-1$ per square. With $4\binom{7}{2} = 84$ squares through the origin, $$\hat\Pi^{(0)}(k^*) = -84\,p^4 + O(p^6) \;=\; -0.003227 \quad\text{at } p = 0.07873$$
Monte Carlo, $n = 25{,}722$ samples: $\hat\Pi^{(0)}(k^*) = -0.004782 \pm 0.000430$ — negative at $\mathbf{11.1\sigma}$. The excess over leading order is the $O(p^6)$ shells, which the enumeration omits and the simulation includes.
The proposal that double connectivity occurs only at even $\|x\|_1$, hence that every term enters with $+1$, is false. Bipartiteness says every path $0 \to x$ has length $\equiv \|x\|_1 \pmod 2$; it does not say $\|x\|_1$ is even. One open square settles it: $0 \Leftrightarrow e_1$ via the direct bond (length 1) and $0 \to e_2 \to e_1{+}e_2 \to e_1$ (length 3), edge-disjoint, both odd, with $\|e_1\|_1 = 1$.
| shell $\|x\|_1$ | sign | occupancy per sample | signed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | −1 | 0.01015 | −0.01015 |
| 2 | +1 | 0.00680 | +0.00680 |
| 3 | −1 | 0.00202 | −0.00202 |
| 4 | +1 | 0.00070 | +0.00070 |
| 5 | −1 | 0.00019 | −0.00019 |
| 6 | +1 | 0.00012 | +0.00012 |
| 7 | −1 | 0.00004 | −0.00004 |
| net | −0.00478 | ||
Every odd shell is populated, and $\|x\|_1 = 1$ is the largest single shell. It carries sign $-1$, and it is what makes the total negative.
§N.3 withdrew the objection that individual $\hat\Pi^{(N)}$ go negative at the corner, because $\widehat{G^2}$ and $\widehat{G^3}$ were positive everywhere. That withdrawal was wrong, and the reason is structural. $G^m$ carries an enormous mass at the origin — $G(0) = 1.0939$ against $G(e_1) = 0.0939$, a factor of twelve — so the $x=0$ term anchors the transform positive no matter what the shells do. $\Pi^{(0)}$ has no $x=0$ term at all: the $\delta_{0,x}$ subtraction removes it by construction. Its transform is therefore decided entirely by the shells, and the nearest shell is odd.
The original objection stands. The model chosen to test it lacked the one feature that decides the answer.
The corner condition of §N.5 was posed as $\hat\Pi^{(2m+1)}(k^*)/\hat\Pi^{(2m)}(k^*) \le 1$. With $\hat\Pi^{(0)}(k^*) < 0$ the denominator is negative and the inequality no longer says what it was written to say; the threshold $0.8429$ inherited from the $G^m$ model does not transfer. More seriously, the sign-alternating premise $\hat\Pi^{(2m)} - \hat\Pi^{(2m+1)} \ge 0$ begins from a negative first term.
Whether $\hat\Pi^{(1)}(k^*)$ is also negative, and of what magnitude, is not settled here. $\Pi^{(1)}$ requires the nested construction over a pivotal bond with restricted connections; the triangle $\sum_{u,v}\tau(0,u)\tau(u,v)\tau(v,x)$ is its bound, not the coefficient, and substituting it would assume precisely what the exercise exists to test.
N.1 Compute $\hat\Pi^{(0)}$ and $\hat\Pi^{(1)}$ for percolation at the zone corner in $d=7$ and test the amplitude condition on the true diagrams rather than the model.
N.2 Show that $\widehat{G^{m+1}}$ is flatter than $\widehat{G^{m}}$ for every $m$, and give the crossing angle as a function of $m$ and $d$.
N.3 Evaluate $C$ for $d=7$ under the NoBLE diagram bounds and compare against the $0.207$ required by the table in §N.2. That number, not $\Omega$, is the whole problem.
sorryAx. A clean axiom report is not a reading of the statement: per R20, a theorem can assume its conclusion and still report clean. Follow the link before citing one as evidence.